Expert System for the Operative Environmental Diagnostics

Expert system for the operative environment diagnostics (ESOED) that is here proposed realizes GIMS-technology ( GIS+Model) combining the methodic and algorithms of mathematical modeling with the land and remote observations of the environment. Links between experiments, algorithms, and models of environmental processes and subsystems are developed to realize effective procedure for the operative control and diagnostics of the environment. The ESOED functions include:Acquisition and accumulation of data by means of in-situ and remote methods and their analysis with the subsequent subject processing. ¨ Systematic observation and evaluation of the environment. Evaluation and synthesis of knowledge concerning the atmosphere, soil-plant cover, and water medium change.¨ Predetermination of the forecasting diagnostics of the environment change under anthropogenic forcing. Analysis of the tendencies in the environmental processes when the anthropogenic scenarios are realized.¨ Identification of causes of ecological disturbances and danger warning. The objective of this Report is threefold: 1) To present a working methodology for the combined use of modeling technology and microwave remote sensing measurements in the assessment of environmental processes and biospheric subsystems dynamics. 2) To illustrate this methodology with computer calculations of global change dynamics for the various scenarios. 3) To give the perspective of developed methodology application to study global environment change including radiative forcing problem related to the carbon cycle.Keywords: remote observations, expert system, global ecodynamics, data processing, scenarios